WMO confirm El Niño high likelihood: comment

Comment on WMO confirmation of 90% likelihood of El Niño

Profile picture of Gareth Redmond-King

By Gareth Redmond-King

info@eciu.net

Last updated:

Commenting on confirmation from the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) of a 90% likelihood that El Niño conditions are developing, and are set to influence global temperature and rainfall patterns [1], Gareth Redmond-King, Head of International at the Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) said:

"With global food supplies already under heavy strain from climate change and strangled off fertiliser supply flows in the Strait of Hormuz, confirmation of El Niño is bad news. It will turbocharge climate change by adding more heat to natural systems, further disrupting weather, and intensifying already dangerous extremes in many parts of the world. We import two fifths of our food in the UK, and with three of the worst harvests in England in the last five years, food prices are already on track to be 50% higher by November than they were five years ago [2]. But in many poorer parts of the world, the havoc El Niño will wreak as it likely delivers another hottest year, in 2027, will be devastating for many farmers, and a question of life or death for far too many people.
 
"Six months out from the next UN climate summit, with countries soon to meet in Bonn to plan Türkiye-hosted COP31, the message couldn’t be starker. Amidst the second fossil fuel crisis in five years, the solution being opted for by many nations to cut costs for consumers and build security into energy systems is to speed the transition to net zero; which is also the only solution that can halt climate change and limit these growing threats to food supplies, economic wellbeing, and lives around the world."


Notes to editors:

1. The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) has issued a press release, under embargo, with related assets, which you can find here: https://trello.com/b/pf4XpCuo/el-nino-and-la-nina-communications-by-wmo   

2. Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) analysis, showing shocks drive up food prices indefinitely: https://eciu.net/media/press-releases/food-prices-wont-come-back-down-new-analysis-suggests-shocks-drive-up-food-prices-indefinitely 

For more information or for interview requests:

George Smeeton, Head of Communications, ECIU, t: 020 8156 5305, m: 07894 571 153, email: george.smeeton@eciu.net